Thursday, May 1, 2008

McMAFIA

Recent books read (2 of 7): Glenny's "McMafia"
Subtitle is "a journey through the global criminal underworld."
Glenny says when you add up all the estimates, that global crime is 15-20 percent of global GDP. This is the biggest estimate out there, and by definition, I tend to doubt it, because the ones who push these calculations most are always trying to move product with the fear factor.
The future of the criminal underworld is the final chapter and it's all about China.
Thing about this is that that "future" tends to feature a new player every generation, and the player always hails from a region just connecting up big time to globalization. Twenty years ago it was all about the Russian mafia. Go back in 20-year increments and you'll find a new going-to-run-the-world! player each time.
And of course they're always superseded, just like they are inside the United States over various waves of immigrants. Whoever's the big wave equals the new scary gang/mafia factor.